CSP, Aug. 25, 2025: Pump price slippage may soon reverse U.S. downstream bulks up a little

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CSP, Jun. 16, 2025: Pump prices drop 5 cents in recent weeks But a big gasoline price spike is coming, says the Lundberg Survey

CSP, Aug. 25, 2025: Pump price slippage may soon reverse U.S. downstream bulks up a little August 25, 2025 CSPDailyNews.com Article: The national average retail price of regular-grade gasoline dropped 1.5 cents per gallon (CPG) in the past two weeks, to $3.222, according to the most recent Lundberg Survey of U.S. fuel markets. The weighted average wholesale price fell more than that, allowing the apparent retail margin to expand by 2.4 CPG. This current street price is 21 cents under its year-ago point, which at a time of continued stumbling of the country’s gasoline demand is nonetheless an encouragement to motorists. Although our retail and wholesale average price changes were not dramatic during the two weeks, in latest days a supply crisis hit the Midwest and is supplying beyond that huge region. In the past two weeks, the region’s average branded rack (all brands combined) rocketed up more than 21 cents. Wholesale buying prices around the country had already turned upward and were rising, but the Aug. 19 stoppage at BP’s Whiting, Indiana, refinery, jolted the distribution system. The regional system, and beyond via wide territorial movements and exchanges, is still trembling from BP’s having to shut down the 440,000-barrels-per-day (bpd) capacity plant due to heavy rainstorms flooding facilities. The complex is already in recovery processes. The crude oil market is comparatively still very calm: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) closed at just 22 cents per barrel lower on Aug. 22 versus two weeks prior. Oil continues semi-frozen in a narrow range as competing influences battle supply perceptions under the calm surface. Although a Ukraine peace process, heavying-up of Russia-related sanctions, and other factors can’t be known, the market does have the completion of the “winding down” of the OPEC+ output reductions, with more oil coming to market for fall 2025. The whole U.S. downstream portion of the industry has been served a modest but much appreciated dollop of gasoline margin. Refiners got a bit more recovery from prior losses. Retailers, with the past two weeks’ improvement, on average garner 35.3 CPG. And it is nearly 6 CPG better than it was in late June. Click here for previous Lundberg Survey reports in CSP Daily News. Trilby Lundberg is publisher of the Lundberg Survey of U.S. fuel markets. Lundberg Survey Inc. is based in Camarillo, California.

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